Letter to a Young Person Worrying About AI (Commoncog)

Posted on October 22, 2025 by Riccardo

i) technological change takes longer than expected to destroy jobs, and ii) it is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future. If you are convinced by these two points, then it is actually a more prudent strategy to wait, watch, and then act in response to real world, observable changes instead of speculation. (Aka “good businesspeople do not predict well, instead they do fast adaptation under uncertainty”).

Ignore the speculation, and ignore the predictions. Most of them are going to be wrong. Just look at what is happening right now — you have plenty of time to adapt.

From Letter to a Young Person Worrying About AI

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